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DRUNKENOMICS

Feb 24, 2023

In lieu of our 3-year anniversary episode, we decided to form some sort of market outlook for this year. Since we've started, inflation has gotten out of control, markets have been unbelievably volatile, and the Fed is now functioning more like a popularity contest rather than a central bank. However, the constant...


Feb 17, 2023

Jobs report, check. Inflation report, check. Retail sales, check. Three key pieces of economic data for the month of January came out over the past week and all of those signs point to a strong economy; meaning inflation has not cooled at all. Now, hindsight 20/20, the 25 bps hike last meeting now seems weak and...


Feb 9, 2023

The Jobs report on Friday proved that the Fed has a lot more room to tighten monetary policy even more. The only thing we now need to see is the CPI report that conveniently comes out on Valentines Day. Additionally, Lebanon felt the appropriate move for their country is to devalue their currency by 90%. Why would they...


Feb 3, 2023

Well, 450 basis points later and the Fed has not been able to control inflation...especially in chicken/egg prices (although it would be cool if the Fed had a tool in their arsenal to increase chicken & egg supply). But in all seriousness, in the biggest earnings week of the first quarter, the markets also decided to...